The center of a tropical disturbance that flared up in the Gulf began to move across land on Friday, bringing heavy rainfall to parts of northeastern Mexico and South Texas.

Hurricane Erin is continuing to intensify as a Category 5 storm as it continues its northwestern path across the Atlantic. Live 5 First Alert Meteorologist Joey Sovine said the storm strengthened Friday morning to a Category 1 storm.

A Gulf disturbance now has a 0% chance of becoming a tropical storm, but it could still  bring rain, high surf and deadly rip currents

As the Gulf disturbance nears Texas, tropical moisture will surge Friday and Saturday in the Houston metro area, leading to increasing storm chances.

While there is no longer a risk of a short-lived tropical depression or storm forming in the southwestern Gulf, pockets of heavy rain could still trigger flash flooding into the weekend.

HOUSTON — A tropical disturbance in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico now has a 50% chance of developing into a tropical depression, but regardless of development, it will send waves of rain into Texas today and Saturday.

Colorado State University experts released their final forecast for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season last week, on Aug. 6.

The longstanding hurricane rating system, the Saffir-Simpson Scale, only takes into account sustained wind speeds and not the full devastating impact of a hurricane.