Every Tuesday and Friday, Ezra Klein invites you into a conversation about something that matters, like today’s episode, guest hosted by Julia Galef and featuring Philip Tetlock. Listen wherever you ...
The Art and Science of Prediction, authors Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner wrote, “...it's easy to misinterpret randomness. We don't have an intuitive feel for it. Randomness is invisible from the ...
Early in his career, psychologist and researcher Philip Tetlock gained notoriety for his work exploring how well people predict the future – something we’d all like to do right now. Spoiler alert: ...
The organization provides a platform for academics to share their work in various fields, including mathematics, engineering, and social and natural sciences.
Diagnosing the problem as unclear and unaccountable forecasting, in 2009 he published Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? which took a unflinching look at the record of one ...
The way we do science is broken: frequently inefficient, unreliable and even totally invalid, the road to consensus is fraught with hostility and academic pettiness. Cory Clark and Philip Tetlock ...
So I’ve been reading psychologist Philip Tetlock’s treatise on Expert Political Judgment. It’s a nifty piece of work, well worth your time. Recommended! Except for one pervasive twitch: Tetlock ...
Back at the start of the Covid-19 pandemic, just before the first lockdown in March of 2020, government ministers were organising their planning around what was predicted by their “reasonable ...
So I’ve been reading psychologist Philip Tetlock’s treatise on Expert Political Judgment. It’s a nifty piece of work, well worth your time. Recommended! Except for one pervasive twitch: Tetlock ...
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